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2024 国产探花Draft order: 30 of 32 first-round picks locked in

This is a look at the Round 1 order for the 2024 国产探花Draft, along with the top needs for each team. The order is determined by record, using strength of schedule as the first tiebreaker. The first 30 picks are locked in as of this writing; the order for picks 31-32 will be determined by the outcome of Super Bowl LVIII.

The 2024 draft is scheduled to be held April 25-27 in Detroit.

Pick
1
Chicago Bears

PICK ACQUIRED FROM THE CAROLINA PANTHERS


Panthers' record: 2-15 (.522 strength of schedule)

Bears' biggest needs: IOL, WR, TE, Edge, QB


GM Ryan Poles must choose whether to move forward with an up-and-coming Justin Fields, who has only one more year at a "bargain" rate, or one of the top quarterback prospects, who would offer four seasons of cap flexibility. Regardless of how Poles proceeds at the position, he should spend a majority of the team's remaining draft capital on improving the rest of the offense.


See the bottom of this article for analysis of the Panthers' needs.

Pick
2
Washington Commanders
4-13 · (.512 strength of schedule)

Biggest needs: QB, Edge, OT, WR, IOL


Sam Howell did not cement himself as the Commanders' starting quarterback, so I鈥檓 expecting a new franchise signal-caller to be selected. Trading Montez Sweat and Chase Young away also makes edge rusher a high priority, along with rebuilding the offensive line so it lives up to the "Hogs" tradition.

Pick
3
New England Patriots
4-13 · .522

Biggest needs: QB, TE, OT, WR, Edge


A lot of changes are coming to New England after this season. The offense should look significantly different. Only one defensive position is listed above, but the team could add talent at all three levels and must decide whether to re-sign safety Kyle Dugger, edge rusher Josh Uche and other impending free agents.

Pick
4
Arizona Cardinals
4-13 · .561

Biggest needs: WR, DT, IOL, Edge, CB


Kyler Murray offensive lineman Paris Johnson Jr. to the Cardinals after they selected him in the first round last year. Murray should respectfully request the team take a receiver with one of its first-rounders this year. Improvements on both the offensive and defensive line are also needed. 

Pick
5
Los Angeles Chargers
5-12 · .529

Biggest needs: CB, RB, DT, Edge, TE


Turnover at head coach and general manager opens the entire roster for changes in 2024. Cornerback and the defensive line should be addressed in free agency and the draft, while running back Austin Ekeler might find a new team come March.

Pick
6
New York Giants
6-11 · .512

Biggest needs: DT, RB, IOL, Edge, OT


If Daniel Jones returns as the team's starting quarterback but Saquon Barkley signs elsewhere as a free agent, finding another bell-cow back will be a primary concern. Adding more talent to the offensive and defensive lines on Day 2 (maybe with the second-round pick acquired from Seattle in the Leonard Williams trade) is also paramount. 

Pick
7
Tennessee Titans
6-11 · .522

Biggest needs: OT, CB, WR, Edge, RB


If the Titans move forward with Will Levis at quarterback, they'll want to upgrade all other parts of the offensive depth chart in the offseason. Derrick Henry's time in Tennessee could come to an end, sack leader Denico Autry is an impending free agent, as well, and the cornerback room might look completely different in 2024.

Pick
8
Atlanta Falcons
7-10 · .429

Biggest needs: QB, WR, Edge, CB, DT


Desmond Ridder was not able to take advantage of his opportunity this season, so I expect a veteran starter or young passer to be added this offseason. Drake London and Kyle Pitts need complementary pass-catchers and the defense needs more playmakers, especially if Bud Dupree and Calais Campbell move on.

Pick
9
Chicago Bears
7-10 · .464

See Pick No. 1 for analysis of the Bears' needs.

Pick
10
New York Jets
7-10 · .502

Biggest needs: OT, WR, S, DT, QB


Aaron Rodgers will be the Jets' quarterback for at least the next year, but Zach Wilson's address might change. New receivers and offensive linemen will help Rodgers' cause, and bolstering the defensive line will make a tough squad even more difficult to handle. 

Pick
11
Minnesota Vikings
7-10 · .509

Biggest needs: QB, Edge, OG, LB, DT


Quarterback remains at the top of the list unless Kirk Cousins re-signs with Minnesota for 2024. Multiple free agents on the defensive line (Jonathan Bullard, Marcus Davenport, Danielle Hunter, D.J. Wonnum) leaves a thin depth chart heading into the offseason.

Pick
12
Denver Broncos
8-9 · .488

Biggest needs: QB, DT, TE, CB, Edge


It鈥檚 not clear what decision the Broncos will make about Russell Wilson and his albatross of a contract this offseason. Denver's defensive statistics are a little misleading because of the outlying 726 yards it gave up to Miami, but there's no doubt the team will look to improve all three levels.

Pick
13
Las Vegas Raiders
8-9 · .488

Biggest needs: QB, IOL, DT, OT, RB


Aidan O'Connell should face competition for the starting quarterback job in training camp. The offensive line could have two or three new starters, which will help Zamir White and a new young apprentice take over from Josh Jacobs if he leaves in free agency.

Pick
14
New Orleans Saints
9-8 · .433

Biggest needs: OT, OG, Edge, CB, DT


Derek Carr's play at the end of the regular season should give the team confidence for 2024. The Saints still need to improve on both sides of the line of scrimmage, though. 

Pick
15
Indianapolis Colts
9-8 · .491

Biggest needs: DT, WR, Edge, CB, LB


Defensive tackle Grover Stewart and receiver Michael Pittman Jr. are stalwarts who will leave sizable gaps if they depart in free agency. The defensive backfield could see turnover this spring, as well.

Pick
16
Seattle Seahawks
9-8 · .512

Biggest needs: LB, IOL, DT, Edge, S


Improving an underwhelming defense (starting with signing Leonard Williams to a new deal after giving up a second-round pick for his services) and replacing potential free agents like left guard Damien Lewis should be high priorities.

Pick
17
Jacksonville Jaguars
9-8 · .533

Biggest needs: Edge, OG, DT, WR, OT


Travon Walker will lead the team's pass rush in 2024 unless the team re-signs or uses the franchise tag on Josh Allen. Uncertainty surrounds the future of Cam Robinson and proper position of Walker Little on the offensive line; it should be a sure thing that the Jaguars draft an athletic defensive tackle.

Pick
18
Cincinnati Bengals
9-8 · .574

Biggest needs: WR, OT, DT, TE, CB


The potential departures of impending free agents Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd and Trenton Irwin leaves a gaping hole on the receiver depth chart. Right tackle Jonah Williams and defensive tackle D.J. Reader are also due to hit the market in March.

Pick
19
Los Angeles Rams
10-7 · .529

Biggest needs: CB, Edge, LB, S, K


The Rams' defense has a young group surrounding Aaron Donald, but the team needs to rebuild its secondary and add depth to the front seven. There are more needs on offense than I list here, but if Alaric Jackson's improved play at left tackle takes one need off the table, it would allow the team to find a reliable kicker in the middle of the draft.

Pick
20
Pittsburgh Steelers
10-7 · .540

Biggest needs: CB, OT, IOL, S, LB


Pittsburgh will need to add depth around Joey Porter Jr. and Patrick Peterson at cornerback. The offensive line is once again an area of concern for the Steelers, and I suspect they'll find their usual middle-round values at safety and linebacker in the draft.

Pick
21
Miami Dolphins
11-6 · .450

Biggest needs: IOL, S, WR, DT, TE


Liam Eichenberg probably won't be the team's starting center in 2024, and Connor Williams is due to become a free agent. More receiver depth is needed and on defense, Christian Wilkins and DeShon Elliott are just two of the soon-to-be free agents potentially leaving holes in the defensive line and secondary.

Pick
22
Philadelphia Eagles
11-6 · .481

Biggest needs: RB, WR, CB, Edge, LB


Trading for D'Andre Swift has paid off, but he's playing on the final year of his rookie contract. Using recent first-round picks on defensive tackles has improved the line. Now it's time to add depth at corner, edge rusher and linebacker.

Pick
23
Houston Texans

PICK ACQUIRED FROM THE CLEVELAND BROWNS


Browns' record: 11-6 (.536)

Texans' biggest needs: OT, DT, CB, Edge, WR


Head coach DeMeco Ryans should continue to reshape Houston's defense in Year 2, especially given the team's inability to stop the Ravens' vaunted running attack in the Divisional Round. A new right tackle could be protecting quarterback C.J. Stroud in 2024 and more pass-catchers are needed.


See the bottom of this article for analysis of the Browns' needs.

Pick
24
Dallas Cowboys
12-5 · .446

Biggest needs: OT, RB, C, CB, LB


Tony Pollard, Tyron Smith and Tyler Biadasz are headed for free agency, and all three levels of the team's defense need depth to be one of the top units in the league in 2024. 

Pick
25
Green Bay Packers
9-8 · .474

Biggest needs: S, OT, CB, IOL, Edge


Green Bay's roster is loaded with solid reserve offensive linemen but not elite starters. We're bound to see changes at safety given the group's lackluster performance in the Divisional Round loss to San Francisco, and depth is needed on the edge and at cornerback. 

Pick
26
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9-8 · .481

Biggest needs: QB, WR, IOL, S, Edge


The Bucs must decide if Baker Mayfield is the quarterback to lead them back to the Super Bowl. Future Hall of Famer Mike Evans and safety Antoine Winfield Jr. will be coveted free agents. Tampa Bay must upgrade the offensive line and add young defensive talent.

PICK ACQUIRED FROM THE HOUSTON TEXANS


Texans' record: 10-7 (.474)


See Pick No. 4 for analysis of the Cardinals' needs and the playoff teams section of this article for analysis of the Texans' needs.

Pick
28
Buffalo Bills
11-6 · .471

Biggest needs: S, DT, Edge, WR, CB


Free agency could decimate the Bills' front four and secondary or give it a fresh new look, depending on the point of view. Adding another receiver becomes important, as well, if Gabe Davis finds a new home in March.

Pick
29
Detroit Lions
12-5 · .481

Biggest needs: CB, OG, Edge, WR, DT


Cornerback play is, without a doubt, the team's top area for improvement next season; finding more difference-makers in the front four would make the secondary's jobs easier. The team's offensive line is one of its greatest strengths, but the unit could lose guards Graham Glasgow, Jonah Jackson and Halapoulivaati Vaitai in free agency. 

Pick
30
Baltimore Ravens
13-4 · .543

Biggest needs: DT, OG, WR, CB, RB


The Ravens face a tough free agent season with their starting defensive line, offensive guards, top receivers not named Zay Flowers and backup cornerbacks scheduled to hit the market. Injuries continue to ravage their running backs, so they might look to draft one on Day 3 instead of re-signing J.K. Dobbins.

Pick
PL
Kansas City Chiefs
11-6 · .481

Biggest needs: DT, WR, CB, RB, OT


The Chiefs can't stand pat with their current receiving corps, even with Rashee Rice stepping up as a rookie. The impending free agency of star defensive lineman Chris Jones and versatile defensive back L'Jarius Sneed could force the team to find replacements early in the draft. 

Pick
PL
San Francisco 49ers
12-5 · .509

Biggest needs: CB, OT, IOL, DT, Edge


San Francisco should search for new starters on the offensive line and I'm expecting a shakeup on the defensive line, unless the team can work out a new deal with trade-deadline acquisition Chase Young. The 49ers should look for cornerbacks early in the draft, as well, to complement star defender Charvarius Ward.

TEAMS WITHOUT A FIRST-ROUND PICK

TRADED FIRST-ROUND PICK TO THE CHICAGO BEARS


Biggest needs: Edge, WR, LB, IOL, CB


Edge rusher leads the way on the Panthers' list, as the team needs depth even if it uses the franchise tag on Brian Burns. DJ Chark might have played well enough this season to get significant offers in free agency, and defensive leader Frankie Luvu should also be well-paid in March. If the team decides to switch Ikem Ekwonu to guard, then a new left tackle will replace the IOL need above.

TRADED FIRST-ROUND PICK TO THE HOUSTON TEXANS


Biggest needs: DT, LB, Edge, WR, OT


Even though the Browns' defense was one of the league's best units in the regular season, it will be tough to keep the band together because of all the free agents in play. Addressing those needs and adding depth at offensive tackle and receiver will keep the team in the playoff hunt next season.

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